WK 5 · 2026LINES CAPTURED SAT 11:05 AM ET
Week 5 · 2026 season
The Board
Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.
54Games modeled
32Games with an Edge
3Games with a Lean
21Pass / Toss-up
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
Thursday, Oct 1
LINES CAPTURED SAT 11:05 AM ET| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Western Kentucky62% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| North Texas @ Tulsa9:00 PM ET · FINAL | North Texas52% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
Friday, Oct 2
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Pittsburgh56% | PITTSBURGH +3.5 · EDGE | – |
| Penn State @ Northwestern8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Penn State57% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 45.5 · EDGE |
Saturday, Oct 3
| Game | Winner | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis @ Charlotte11:00 AM ET · FINAL | Memphis78% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Middle Tennessee @ Kansas12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Kansas88% | MIDDLE TENNESSEE +18.25 · EDGE | – |
| Syracuse @ UConn12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Syracuse68% | UCONN +6.5 · EDGE | – |
| AP rank 7Alabama @ AP rank 16Mississippi State12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Alabama68% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 60.25 · EDGE |
| AP rank 3Notre Dame @ North Carolina12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Notre Dame98% | NORTH CAROLINA +21 · EDGE | UNDER 55.5 · EDGE |
| Stanford @ Wake Forest12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Wake Forest73% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Michigan @ Minnesota12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Michigan63% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 42.25 · EDGE |
| West Virginia @ Iowa State12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Iowa State59% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Navy @ Air Force12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Air Force54% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Boston College @ AP rank 21SMU12:00 PM ET · FINAL | SMU95% | BOSTON COLLEGE +21.5 · EDGE | – |
| UCF @ AP rank 20Houston12:00 PM ET · FINAL | Houston84% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Michigan State @ Wisconsin12:30 PM ET · FINAL | Wisconsin75% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 43.25 · EDGE |
| Vanderbilt @ AP rank 2Georgia12:45 PM ET · FINAL | Georgia96% | VANDERBILT +24.25 · EDGE | OVER 50.75 · EDGE |
| Western Michigan @ Buffalo1:00 PM ET · FINAL | Western Michigan77% | BUFFALO +12.75 · LEAN | OVER 46.75 · EDGE |
| Toledo @ Ball State2:00 PM ET · FINAL | Toledo96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 5Ohio State @ AP rank 14Iowa3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Ohio State83% | IOWA +13.75 · EDGE | OVER 44.5 · EDGE |
| Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Miami (OH)95% | MIAMI (OH) -11.25 · LEAN | – |
| Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Eastern Michigan51% | EASTERN MICHIGAN +6.25 · EDGE | OVER 48.75 · EDGE |
| Old Dominion @ Georgia State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Georgia State60% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Akron @ Central Michigan3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Central Michigan67% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 8Florida @ AP rank 25Missouri3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Florida68% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Ohio @ Kent State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Ohio69% | OHIO -3.5 · EDGE | – |
| Louisville @ NC State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | NC State53% | NC STATE +3.5 · EDGE | UNDER 59.5 · EDGE |
| California @ UNLV3:30 PM ET · FINAL | California53% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Virginia @ Florida State3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Florida State51% | FLORIDA STATE +2.5 · EDGE | – |
| Auburn @ AP rank 17Tennessee3:30 PM ET · FINAL | Tennessee76% | TENNESSEE -6.5 · EDGE | – |
| Marshall @ James Madison3:45 PM ET · FINAL | James Madison88% | MARSHALL +18.5 · EDGE | – |
| UTEP @ New Mexico4:00 PM ET · FINAL | New Mexico97% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 48.25 · EDGE |
| Maryland @ Nebraska4:00 PM ET · FINAL | Nebraska86% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 24Kentucky @ South Carolina4:15 PM ET · FINAL | South Carolina76% | SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5 · EDGE | UNDER 54.25 · EDGE |
| Purdue @ Illinois4:15 PM ET · FINAL | Illinois82% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 62 · EDGE |
| Oregon State @ Colorado State6:00 PM ET · FINAL | Oregon State58% | COLORADO STATE +6.75 · EDGE | UNDER 62.5 · EDGE |
| UTSA @ Rice7:00 PM ET · FINAL | UTSA80% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Coastal Carolina51% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| UL Monroe @ South Alabama7:00 PM ET · FINAL | South Alabama89% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 10BYU @ TCU7:00 PM ET · FINAL | BYU71% | TCU +6.5 · EDGE | OVER 47.75 · EDGE |
| Arkansas @ Texas A&M7:00 PM ET · FINAL | Texas A&M87% | ARKANSAS +14 · EDGE | – |
| AP rank 4Miami @ Clemson7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Miami86% | MIAMI -7 · EDGE | UNDER 55.5 · EDGE |
| Washington @ AP rank 18USC7:30 PM ET · FINAL | USC71% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | UNDER 58.75 · EDGE |
| Temple @ South Florida7:30 PM ET · FINAL | South Florida83% | SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5 · LEAN | OVER 49.5 · EDGE |
| Utah State @ AP rank 22Boise State7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Boise State89% | UTAH STATE +20.25 · EDGE | – |
| Army @ Louisiana Tech7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Army61% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 46.25 · EDGE |
| AP rank 12Texas Tech @ Colorado7:30 PM ET · FINAL | Texas Tech96% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Arkansas State @ Louisiana8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Louisiana61% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| AP rank 6Indiana @ Rutgers8:00 PM ET · FINAL | Indiana90% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Fresno State @ Washington State9:30 PM ET · FINAL | Washington State56% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | OVER 45.5 · EDGE |
| Texas State @ San Diego State10:30 PM ET · FINAL | Texas State66% | SAN DIEGO STATE +9.5 · EDGE | – |
| Baylor @ Arizona State10:30 PM ET · FINAL | Arizona State52% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| Cincinnati @ Arizona11:00 PM ET · FINAL | Arizona82% | LINE UNAVAILABLE | – |
| San José State @ Hawai'i11:59 PM ET · FINAL | Hawai'i59% | HAWAI'I -2.75 · EDGE | – |
Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.