BOSTON COLLEGE +21.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · GERALD J. FORD STADIUM
Boston College2-25%
SMU3-195%
BCNATL RANKSMU
79th
Model Overall
11th
40th
Model Offense
7th
114th
Model Defense
27th
-0.8
Pace
-1.3
16%
Returning PPA
57%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.8
Model total56.4
BOSTON COLLEGE +21.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Boston College +21.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Boston College line
+21.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Boston College line +20.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Boston College line +21.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Boston College line +21.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Boston College line +21.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Boston College line +21.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Boston College line +21.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: BC wk 5 · SMU wk 5
Model margin
SMU by 19.23
Opening line
Boston College +20.75
Latest line
Boston College +21.5
Close total
55.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BC16
FINALGerald J. Ford Stadium
SMU25
WinSMUWIN HIT
ATSBOSTON COLLEGE +21.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
