Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UCF line +12.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UCF line +12.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; UCF line +12.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; UCF line +11.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; UCF line +11.25; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; UCF line +10.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UCF wk 5 · HOU wk 5
Model margin
Houston by 10.82
Opening line
UCF +12
Latest line
UCF +10.5
Close total
50.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UCF17
FINALTDECU Stadium
HOU27
WinHoustonWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.