Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Toledo line -18.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Toledo line -19.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Toledo line -19.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Toledo line -19.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Toledo line -20.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Toledo line -21.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: TOL wk 5 · BALL wk 5
Model margin
Toledo by 16.17
Opening line
Toledo -18.5
Latest line
Toledo -20.75
Close total
52.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
TOL39
FINALScheumann Stadium
BALL24
WinToledoWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
