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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Vanderbilt @ AP rank 2Georgia

VANDERBILT +24.25 · EDGE win; OVER 50.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · SANFORD STADIUM
Vanderbilt3-14%
Georgia4-096%
VANNATL RANKUGA
7th
Model Overall
10th
1st
Model Offense
19th
71st
Model Defense
12th
-5.7
Pace
1.0
35%
Returning PPA
69%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total58.4
VANDERBILT +24.25 · EDGE WINOVER 50.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Vanderbilt +25.5 · No signal

+23+24+25+26Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Vanderbilt line
+25.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +23.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +24.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +24.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +25.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +25.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Vanderbilt line +25.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: VAN wk 5 · UGA wk 5

Model margin
Georgia by 17.60
Opening line
Vanderbilt +23.5
Latest line
Vanderbilt +25.5
Close total
50.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

VAN14
FINALSanford Stadium
UGA38
  • WinGeorgiaWIN HIT
  • ATSVANDERBILT +24.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalOVER 50.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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