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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Syracuse @ UConn

UCONN +6.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · PRATT & WHITNEY STADIUM
Syracuse1-268%
UConn2-232%
SYRNATL RANKCONN
130th
Model Overall
92nd
122nd
Model Offense
39th
126th
Model Defense
132nd
0.2
Pace
-2.5
35%
Returning PPA
2%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.8
Model total55.0
UCONN +6.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Syracuse -6.5 · EDGE

-8-7-6-5Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Syracuse line
-6.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Syracuse line -6.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Syracuse line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Syracuse line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Syracuse line -6.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Syracuse line -7.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Syracuse line -6.5; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: SYR wk 5 · CONN wk 5

Model margin
Syracuse by 4.01
Opening line
Syracuse -6
Latest line
Syracuse -6.5
Close total
51.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

SYR42
FINALPratt & Whitney Stadium
CONN41
  • WinSyracuseWIN HIT
  • ATSUCONN +6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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