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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

North Texas @ Tulsa

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

THU, OCT 1 · FINAL · CHAPMAN STADIUM
North Texas2-252%
Tulsa3-148%
UNTNATL RANKTLSA
41st
Model Overall
100th
5th
Model Offense
102nd
111th
Model Defense
103rd
1.6
Pace
3.6
3%
Returning PPA
41%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.8
Model total57.6

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: North Texas -1.25 · No signal

-2-10+1+2Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET

North Texas line
-1.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; North Texas line +0.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; North Texas line +1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; North Texas line +1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; North Texas line -1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: UNT wk 5 · TLSA wk 5

Model margin
North Texas by 2.33
Opening line
North Texas +0.25
Latest line
North Texas -2
Close total
56.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UNT45
FINALChapman Stadium
TLSA44
  • WinNorth TexasWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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