UNDER 58.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM
Washington3-129%
USC4-171%
WASHNATL RANKUSC
6th
Model Overall
33rd
20th
Model Offense
15th
6th
Model Defense
65th
-4.9
Pace
-3.1
54%
Returning PPA
59%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total52.5
UNDER 58.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Washington +8.75 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Washington line
+8.75
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Washington line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Washington line +8.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Washington line +8.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: WASH wk 5 · USC wk 5
Model margin
USC by 7.90
Opening line
Washington +10
Latest line
Washington +8.25
Close total
58.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
WASH21
FINALLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum
USC25
WinUSCWIN HIT
TotalUNDER 58.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.