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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Washington @ AP rank 18USC

UNDER 58.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM
Washington3-129%
USC4-171%
WASHNATL RANKUSC
6th
Model Overall
33rd
20th
Model Offense
15th
6th
Model Defense
65th
-4.9
Pace
-3.1
54%
Returning PPA
59%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total52.5
UNDER 58.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Washington +8.75 · No signal

+8+9+10+11Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Washington line
+8.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Washington line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Washington line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Washington line +8.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Washington line +8.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: WASH wk 5 · USC wk 5

Model margin
USC by 7.90
Opening line
Washington +10
Latest line
Washington +8.25
Close total
58.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

WASH21
FINALLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum
USC25
  • WinUSCWIN HIT
  • TotalUNDER 58.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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