SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)
Purdue1-318%
Illinois2-282%
PURNATL RANKILL
110th
Model Overall
46th
92nd
Model Offense
51st
121st
Model Defense
45th
-4.4
Pace
-3.5
48%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total60.0
Model total55.9
UNDER 62 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Purdue +10.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Purdue line
+10.0
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Purdue line +10.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: PUR wk 5 · ILL wk 5
Model margin
Illinois by 11.57
Opening line
Purdue +10
Latest line
Purdue +9.75
Close total
62.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
PUR24
FINALMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
ILL17
WinIllinoisWIN MISS
TotalUNDER 62 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
