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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

AP rank 4Miami @ Clemson

MIAMI -7 · EDGE win; UNDER 55.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC)
Miami4-086%
Clemson3-114%
MIANATL RANKCLEM
3rd
Model Overall
27th
13th
Model Offense
48th
2nd
Model Defense
23rd
-1.8
Pace
0.4
37%
Returning PPA
41%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.5
Model total49.7
MIAMI -7 · EDGE WINUNDER 55.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Miami -15.5 · No signal

-19-18-17-16-15-14-13-12-11-10-9-8-7-6-5Open5:03 PMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Miami line
-15.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Miami line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Miami line -16.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Miami line -16.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Miami line -16.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Miami line -16.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Miami line -15.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MIA wk 5 · CLEM wk 5

Model margin
Miami by 16.31
Opening line
Miami -7
Latest line
Miami -14.75
Close total
48.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MIA41
FINALMemorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
CLEM13
  • WinMiamiWIN HIT
  • ATSMIAMI -7 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalUNDER 55.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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