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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Navy @ Air Force

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · FALCON STADIUM
Navy1-246%
Air Force2-154%
NAVYNATL RANKAF
42nd
Model Overall
125th
49th
Model Offense
52nd
36th
Model Defense
137th
-5.0
Pace
-1.1
14%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.3
Model total46.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Navy +3.0 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Navy line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Navy line +2.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Navy line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Navy line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Navy line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Navy line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Navy line +3.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: NAVY wk 5 · AF wk 5

Model margin
Air Force by 1.36
Opening line
Navy +2
Latest line
Navy +2.75
Close total
45.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

NAVY9
FINALFalcon Stadium
AF14
  • WinAir ForceWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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