COLORADO STATE +6.75 · EDGE loss; UNDER 62.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · CANVAS STADIUM
Oregon State2-258%
Colorado State2-242%
ORSTNATL RANKCSU
118th
Model Overall
124th
126th
Model Offense
105th
86th
Model Defense
131st
0.2
Pace
-5.0
58%
Returning PPA
40%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total60.3
Model total57.0
COLORADO STATE +6.75 · EDGE LOSSUNDER 62.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Oregon State -6.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Oregon State line
-6.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Oregon State line -4.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Oregon State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Oregon State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Oregon State line -6.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Oregon State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Oregon State line -6.75; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: ORST wk 5 · CSU wk 5
Model margin
Oregon State by 3.56
Opening line
Oregon State -4
Latest line
Oregon State -7
Close total
61.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ORST56
FINALCanvas Stadium
CSU26
WinOregon StateWIN HIT
ATSCOLORADO STATE +6.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalUNDER 62.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
