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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET
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Week 5 · 2026 season

Florida @ Missouri

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM
Florida4-068%
Missouri3-132%
FLANATL RANKMIZ
36th
Model Overall
25th
23rd
Model Offense
64th
54th
Model Defense
10th
-5.5
Pace
-0.4
69%
Returning PPA
42%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total54.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Florida -5.5 · No signal

-7-6-5-4-3-2-1Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Florida line
-5.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Florida line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Florida line -4.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Florida line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Florida line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Florida line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Florida line -5.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: FLA wk 5 · MIZ wk 5

Model margin
Florida by 5.63
Opening line
Florida -2.5
Latest line
Florida -5.5
Close total
57.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

FLA17
FINALMemorial Stadium
MIZ45
  • WinFloridaWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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