TENNESSEE -6.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · NEYLAND STADIUM
Auburn3-124%
Tennessee3-176%
AUBNATL RANKTENN
14th
Model Overall
29th
30th
Model Offense
12th
13th
Model Defense
61st
-0.2
Pace
1.0
14%
Returning PPA
35%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total54.3
TENNESSEE -6.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Auburn +6.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Auburn line
+6.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Auburn line +7.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Auburn line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Auburn line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Auburn line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Auburn line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Auburn line +6.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: AUB wk 5 · TENN wk 5
Model margin
Tennessee by 8.85
Opening line
Auburn +7.5
Latest line
Auburn +6.25
Close total
54.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
AUB14
FINALNeyland Stadium
TENN24
WinTennesseeWIN HIT
ATSTENNESSEE -6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
