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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Ohio @ Kent State

OHIO -3.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · DIX STADIUM
Ohio2-269%
Kent State2-231%
OHIONATL RANKKENT
77th
Model Overall
102nd
75th
Model Offense
99th
73rd
Model Defense
107th
-3.2
Pace
-9.3
63%
Returning PPA
64%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5
Model total52.8
OHIO -3.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ohio -3.5 · EDGE

-6-5-4-3-2Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Ohio line
-3.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Ohio line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Ohio line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Ohio line -3.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Ohio line -3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Ohio line -3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Ohio line -3.5; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: OHIO wk 5 · KENT wk 5

Model margin
Ohio by 5.71
Opening line
Ohio -5.5
Latest line
Ohio -3.5
Close total
50.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

OHIO13
FINALDix Stadium
KENT10
  • WinOhioWIN HIT
  • ATSOHIO -3.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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