OVER 42.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · HUNTINGTON BANK STADIUM
Michigan3-163%
Minnesota3-137%
MICHNATL RANKMINN
56th
Model Overall
81st
60th
Model Offense
73rd
52nd
Model Defense
82nd
-3.0
Pace
-7.2
69%
Returning PPA
65%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total44.5
Model total45.9
OVER 42.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Michigan -6.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Michigan line
-6.0
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Michigan line -8.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Michigan line -5.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Michigan line -5.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Michigan line -5.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Michigan line -5.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Michigan line -6.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: MICH wk 5 · MINN wk 5
Model margin
Michigan by 5.55
Opening line
Michigan -8.5
Latest line
Michigan -6.25
Close total
42.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MICH14
FINALHuntington Bank Stadium
MINN20
WinMichiganWIN MISS
TotalOVER 42.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
