SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5 · LEAN loss; OVER 49.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM
Temple1-317%
South Florida4-083%
TEMNATL RANKUSF
115th
Model Overall
34th
97th
Model Offense
25th
123rd
Model Defense
51st
-6.4
Pace
1.6
37%
Returning PPA
13%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.0
Model total52.9
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5 · LEAN LOSSOVER 49.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Temple +5.5 · LEAN
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Temple line
+5.5
Producer tier
LEAN
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Temple line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Temple line +6.25; producer tier LEAN
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Temple line +6.5; producer tier LEAN
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Temple line +6.5; producer tier LEAN
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Temple line +6.5; producer tier LEAN
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Temple line +5.5; producer tier LEAN
RATINGS AS OF: TEM wk 5 · USF wk 5
Model margin
South Florida by 15.44
Opening line
Temple +6
Latest line
Temple +5.5
Close total
49.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
TEM17
FINALRaymond James Stadium
USF13
WinSouth FloridaWIN MISS
ATSSOUTH FLORIDA -5.5 · LEANLEAN MISS
TotalOVER 49.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
