Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

THU, OCT 1 · FINAL · AGGIE MEMORIAL STADIUM
Western Kentucky1-362%
New Mexico State1-338%
WKUNATL RANKNMSU
91st
Model Overall
127th
101st
Model Offense
132nd
72nd
Model Defense
88th
-0.2
Pace
1.2
84%
Returning PPA
24%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total54.7

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Western Kentucky +2.25 · No signal

0+1+2+3Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET

Western Kentucky line
+2.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: WKU wk 5 · NMSU wk 5

Model margin
Western Kentucky by 2.23
Opening line
Western Kentucky +1.25
Latest line
Western Kentucky +1.5
Close total
55.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

WKU13
FINALAggie Memorial Stadium
NMSU34
  • WinWestern KentuckyWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 5 board