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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET
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Week 5 · 2026 season

California @ UNLV

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · ALLEGIANT STADIUM
California2-253%
UNLV2-247%
CALNATL RANKUNLV
66th
Model Overall
59th
32nd
Model Offense
26th
104th
Model Defense
89th
-0.3
Pace
-3.2
58%
Returning PPA
15%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.0
Model total53.6

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: California +1.75 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

California line
+1.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; California line +1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; California line +2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; California line +2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; California line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; California line +2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; California line +1.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: CAL wk 5 · UNLV wk 5

Model margin
UNLV by 1.74
Opening line
California +1.75
Latest line
California +1.75
Close total
52.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CAL31
FINALAllegiant Stadium
UNLV39
  • WinCaliforniaWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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