HAWAI'I -2.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · CLARENCE T.C. CHING ATHLETICS COMPLEX
San José State2-241%
Hawai'i1-359%
SJSUNATL RANKHAW
105th
Model Overall
80th
103rd
Model Offense
54th
108th
Model Defense
96th
-1.2
Pace
0.2
4%
Returning PPA
65%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.3
Model total51.2
HAWAI'I -2.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: San José State +2.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
San José State line
+2.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; San José State line +4.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; San José State line +2.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; San José State line +3.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; San José State line +2.75; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; San José State line +3.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; San José State line +2.75; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: SJSU wk 5 · HAW wk 5
Model margin
Hawai'i by 5.42
Opening line
San José State +4.25
Latest line
San José State +2.75
Close total
51.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SJSU20
FINALClarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
HAW16
WinHawai'iWIN MISS
ATSHAWAI'I -2.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
