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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

UL Monroe @ South Alabama

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · HANCOCK WHITNEY STADIUM
UL Monroe0-411%
South Alabama2-289%
ULMNATL RANKUSA
117th
Model Overall
120th
128th
Model Offense
108th
84th
Model Defense
127th
-6.1
Pace
0.2
39%
Returning PPA
79%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.8
Model total55.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UL Monroe +14.0 · No signal

+13+14+15Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

UL Monroe line
+14.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: ULM wk 5 · USA wk 5

Model margin
South Alabama by 15.14
Opening line
UL Monroe +14.25
Latest line
UL Monroe +13.25
Close total
57.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ULM35
FINALHancock Whitney Stadium
USA52
  • WinSouth AlabamaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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