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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET
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Week 5 · 2026 season

Cincinnati @ Arizona

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · ARIZONA STADIUM
Cincinnati4-018%
Arizona3-182%
CINNATL RANKARIZ
62nd
Model Overall
23rd
31st
Model Offense
42nd
90th
Model Defense
18th
-6.1
Pace
1.0
8%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.8
Model total53.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Cincinnati +6.75 · No signal

+6+7+8+9Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Cincinnati line
+6.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Cincinnati line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Cincinnati line +7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Cincinnati line +7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Cincinnati line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Cincinnati line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Cincinnati line +6.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: CIN wk 5 · ARIZ wk 5

Model margin
Arizona by 11.68
Opening line
Cincinnati +7.75
Latest line
Cincinnati +6.75
Close total
56.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CIN7
FINALArizona Stadium
ARIZ34
  • WinArizonaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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