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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

West Virginia @ Iowa State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · JACK TRICE STADIUM
West Virginia3-141%
Iowa State2-259%
WVUNATL RANKISU
86th
Model Overall
51st
100th
Model Offense
70th
58th
Model Defense
44th
0.5
Pace
-0.4
14%
Returning PPA
2%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.0
Model total51.2

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: West Virginia +3.0 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

West Virginia line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; West Virginia line +2.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; West Virginia line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; West Virginia line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; West Virginia line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; West Virginia line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; West Virginia line +3.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: WVU wk 5 · ISU wk 5

Model margin
Iowa State by 3.44
Opening line
West Virginia +2
Latest line
West Virginia +3
Close total
53.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

WVU42
FINALJack Trice Stadium
ISU45
  • WinIowa StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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