TCU +6.5 · EDGE loss; OVER 47.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · AMON G. CARTER STADIUM
BYU3-071%
TCU2-229%
BYUNATL RANKTCU
22nd
Model Overall
37th
24th
Model Offense
43rd
32nd
Model Defense
43rd
-1.8
Pace
0.0
79%
Returning PPA
22%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.5
Model total52.8
TCU +6.5 · EDGE LOSSOVER 47.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: BYU -6.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
BYU line
-6.0
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; BYU line -5.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; BYU line -6.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; BYU line -6.25; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; BYU line -6.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BYU wk 5 · TCU wk 5
Model margin
BYU by 4.40
Opening line
BYU -5.5
Latest line
BYU -5.75
Close total
48.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BYU17
FINALAmon G. Carter Stadium
TCU10
WinBYUWIN HIT
ATSTCU +6.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 47.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
