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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts

EASTERN MICHIGAN +6.25 · EDGE win; OVER 48.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · WARREN MCGUIRK ALUMNI STADIUM
Eastern Michigan2-351%
Massachusetts4-049%
EMUNATL RANKMASS
89th
Model Overall
138th
59th
Model Offense
136th
115th
Model Defense
138th
-1.4
Pace
-4.0
72%
Returning PPA
-57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.5
Model total52.9
EASTERN MICHIGAN +6.25 · EDGE WINOVER 48.75 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Eastern Michigan +6.0 · No signal

+3+4+5+6+7Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Eastern Michigan line
+6.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +4.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +5.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +6.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +6.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +5.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Eastern Michigan line +6.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: EMU wk 5 · MASS wk 5

Model margin
Massachusetts by 2.05
Opening line
Eastern Michigan +4
Latest line
Eastern Michigan +5.75
Close total
49.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

EMU38
FINALWarren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
MASS14
  • WinEastern MichiganWIN HIT
  • ATSEASTERN MICHIGAN +6.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalOVER 48.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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