MIAMI (OH) -11.25 · LEAN loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · YAGER STADIUM
Bowling Green0-45%
Miami (OH)2-295%
BGSUNATL RANKM-OH
133rd
Model Overall
94th
135th
Model Offense
112th
106th
Model Defense
75th
-3.9
Pace
-6.2
-6%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total48.8
Model total50.5
MIAMI (OH) -11.25 · LEAN LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Bowling Green +11.25 · LEAN
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Bowling Green line
+11.25
Producer tier
LEAN
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Bowling Green line +15.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Bowling Green line +13.25; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Bowling Green line +13.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Bowling Green line +13.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Bowling Green line +13.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Bowling Green line +11.25; producer tier LEAN
RATINGS AS OF: BGSU wk 5 · M-OH wk 5
Model margin
Miami (OH) by 20.82
Opening line
Bowling Green +15.25
Latest line
Bowling Green +11.25
Close total
42.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BGSU24
FINALYager Stadium
M-OH20
WinMiami (OH)WIN MISS
ATSMIAMI (OH) -11.25 · LEANLEAN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
