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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech

PITTSBURGH +3.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, OCT 2 · FINAL · LANE STADIUM
Pittsburgh4-056%
Virginia Tech4-044%
PITTNATL RANKVT
24th
Model Overall
57th
66th
Model Offense
22nd
9th
Model Defense
95th
0.4
Pace
-5.4
40%
Returning PPA
37%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.5
Model total51.3
PITTSBURGH +3.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Pittsburgh +2.5 · No signal

+1+2+3+4+5+6+7Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET

Pittsburgh line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Pittsburgh line +5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Pittsburgh line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Pittsburgh line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Pittsburgh line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Pittsburgh line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: PITT wk 5 · VT wk 5

Model margin
Virginia Tech by 0.52
Opening line
Pittsburgh +5.5
Latest line
Pittsburgh +1.5
Close total
53.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

PITT35
FINALLane Stadium
VT33
  • WinPittsburghWIN HIT
  • ATSPITTSBURGH +3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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