MIDDLE TENNESSEE +18.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM
Middle Tennessee2-212%
Kansas1-288%
MTSUNATL RANKKU
112th
Model Overall
74th
80th
Model Offense
36th
129th
Model Defense
105th
-2.0
Pace
-3.2
33%
Returning PPA
18%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total51.5
Model total50.4
MIDDLE TENNESSEE +18.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Middle Tennessee +20.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Middle Tennessee line
+20.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +20.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +19.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +18.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +18.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +19.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Middle Tennessee line +20.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: MTSU wk 5 · KU wk 5
Model margin
Kansas by 15.49
Opening line
Middle Tennessee +20.75
Latest line
Middle Tennessee +21
Close total
51.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MTSU0
FINALMemorial Stadium
KU55
WinKansasWIN HIT
ATSMIDDLE TENNESSEE +18.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
