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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Memphis @ Charlotte

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · JERRY RICHARDSON STADIUM
Memphis3-178%
Charlotte0-422%
MEMNATL RANKCLT
75th
Model Overall
132nd
76th
Model Offense
138th
64th
Model Defense
70th
-0.2
Pace
-8.1
6%
Returning PPA
41%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.3
Model total52.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Memphis -20.5 · No signal

-22-21-20-19Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET

Memphis line
-20.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Memphis line -21.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Memphis line -20.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Memphis line -20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Memphis line -20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Memphis line -20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MEM wk 5 · CLT wk 5

Model margin
Memphis by 16.83
Opening line
Memphis -21
Latest line
Memphis -19.5
Close total
52.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MEM59
FINALJerry Richardson Stadium
CLT8
  • WinMemphisWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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