Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Marshall @ James Madison

MARSHALL +18.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · BRIDGEFORTH STADIUM
Marshall3-112%
James Madison4-088%
MRSHNATL RANKJMU
85th
Model Overall
18th
87th
Model Offense
27th
63rd
Model Defense
24th
-0.8
Pace
0.9
99%
Returning PPA
8%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.0
Model total56.7
MARSHALL +18.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Marshall +17.25 · No signal

+14+15+16+17+18+19+20Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Marshall line
+17.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Marshall line +15.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Marshall line +18.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Marshall line +18.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Marshall line +18.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Marshall line +19.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Marshall line +17.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MRSH wk 5 · JMU wk 5

Model margin
James Madison by 15.63
Opening line
Marshall +15.5
Latest line
Marshall +16.25
Close total
55.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MRSH17
FINALBridgeforth Stadium
JMU45
  • WinJames MadisonWIN HIT
  • ATSMARSHALL +18.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 5 board