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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

Arkansas @ Texas A&M

ARKANSAS +14 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · KYLE FIELD
Arkansas2-213%
Texas A&M2-287%
ARKNATL RANKTA&M
39th
Model Overall
20th
10th
Model Offense
34th
81st
Model Defense
20th
-2.5
Pace
0.6
14%
Returning PPA
73%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total51.5
Model total50.5
ARKANSAS +14 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Arkansas +14.0 · EDGE

+13+14+15Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

Arkansas line
+14.0
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Arkansas line +14.0; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: ARK wk 5 · TA&M wk 5

Model margin
Texas A&M by 11.89
Opening line
Arkansas +14.25
Latest line
Arkansas +13.75
Close total
50.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ARK7
FINALKyle Field
TA&M34
  • WinTexas A&MWIN HIT
  • ATSARKANSAS +14 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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