Track record · 2017-2026
Every call, graded.
8,133 graded games. ATS leans, ATS Edges, total leans, and total Edges keep independent records.
All-time record by market
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
Every season, every market
win rates exclude pushes| Season | Games | Win | ATS lean | ATS Edge | Total lean | Total Edge bets | Edge win | Edge ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 874 | 73.2% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2018 | 884 | 75.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2019 | 888 | 78.7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2020 | 568 | 73.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2021 | 887 | 73.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2022 | 896 | 73.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2023 | 910 | 75.7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2024 | 919 | 74.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2025 | 934 | 75.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2026 | 373 | 75.1% | 55.6% | 53.6% | 60.0% | 120 | 56.7% | +8.2% |
| All time | 8,133 | 74.9% | 55.6% | 53.6% | 60.0% | 120 | 56.7% | +8.2% |
Dashed edge cells mark seasons before 2026: no opener on record, so there was no edge to flag.
How we grade
Frozen selected lines
Each published ATS or total Lean or Edge grades against the line locked with that selection. Every market and tier keeps its own result.
Independent signal tiers
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
Pushes sit out
Pushes are excluded. Win rates only include decided bets, and ROI assumes a flat 1 unit stake on every badged edge.
Openers since 2026
We started capturing opening totals in 2026. Earlier seasons still grade the other 3 markets, just with dashed edge columns.
Connor's Card
The human picks, same rulesThese are Connor's picks from the Film Room, graded by the same rules as the model markets and kept separate from the model's record above. Spread and total picks settle at -110; moneyline picks grade at even.