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WK 5 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 5 · 2026 season

UTSA @ Rice

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · RICE STADIUM
UTSA3-180%
Rice1-320%
UTSANATL RANKRICE
50th
Model Overall
136th
58th
Model Offense
137th
47th
Model Defense
118th
0.6
Pace
-4.4
67%
Returning PPA
39%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.5
Model total53.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UTSA -12.5 · No signal

-13-12-11Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:05 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET

UTSA line
-12.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UTSA line -11.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; UTSA line -11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; UTSA line -11.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; UTSA line -11.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; UTSA line -12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; UTSA line -12.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UTSA wk 5 · RICE wk 5

Model margin
UTSA by 12.09
Opening line
UTSA -11.75
Latest line
UTSA -12
Close total
56.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UTSA16
FINALRice Stadium
RICE14
  • WinUTSAWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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