UTAH STATE +20.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · ALBERTSONS STADIUM
Utah State1-311%
Boise State3-189%
USUNATL RANKBOIS
87th
Model Overall
54th
71st
Model Offense
78th
100th
Model Defense
39th
-1.5
Pace
2.6
65%
Returning PPA
66%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total49.8
Model total51.3
UTAH STATE +20.25 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Utah State +19.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Utah State line
+19.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Utah State line +20.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Utah State line +20.75; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Utah State line +20.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Utah State line +20.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Utah State line +18.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Utah State line +19.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: USU wk 5 · BOIS wk 5
Model margin
Boise State by 15.62
Opening line
Utah State +20.25
Latest line
Utah State +19.5
Close total
51.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
USU18
FINALAlbertsons Stadium
BOIS37
WinBoise StateWIN HIT
ATSUTAH STATE +20.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
