SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5 · EDGE loss; UNDER 54.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 3 · FINAL · WILLIAMS-BRICE STADIUM
Kentucky3-124%
South Carolina2-276%
UKNATL RANKSC
84th
Model Overall
28th
91st
Model Offense
65th
59th
Model Defense
17th
-3.5
Pace
-3.7
19%
Returning PPA
69%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total49.5
Model total50.1
SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5 · EDGE LOSSUNDER 54.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Kentucky +2.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET
Kentucky line
+2.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Kentucky line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 29, 11:02:35 AM ET; Kentucky line +2.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 30, 11:02:58 AM ET; Kentucky line +3.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Kentucky line +3.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Oct 2, 11:03:06 AM ET; Kentucky line +3.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Oct 3, 11:05:51 AM ET; Kentucky line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: UK wk 5 · SC wk 5
Model margin
South Carolina by 10.00
Opening line
Kentucky +7
Latest line
Kentucky +2.5
Close total
53.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UK35
FINALWilliams-Brice Stadium
SC34
WinSouth CarolinaWIN MISS
ATSSOUTH CAROLINA -2.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalUNDER 54.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
