2026 season · Week 4 · The report card
Week 4, graded.
28 games carry an ATS or total Edge. Each result stays with its market.
Games with an Edge28
Frozen selections graded against their selected lines
Downfield Data
Downfield DataWk 4 · 202655 games gradedscored Fri, Oct 23
Week 4, graded.
The card, graded
28 games with an EdgeNorthwestern @ Indiana
Final · Fri, Sep 2523-2952 total points
OVER 49.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total53.18
Close49.75
Clemson @ California
Final · Fri, Sep 2524-1034 total points
CLEMSON +1.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total48.85
Close52.25
Virginia Tech @ Boston College
Final · Sat, Sep 2621-1435 total points
OVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total54.24
Close45.5
Texas @ Tennessee
Final · Sat, Sep 2620-1737 total points
TEXAS -5.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
OVER 54.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total58.87
Close54.5
Colorado @ Baylor
Final · Sat, Sep 2613-2336 total points
UNDER 55.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total52.14
Close54.25
UNLV @ Akron
Final · Sat, Sep 2638-1048 total points
UNDER 53.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total49.79
Close52.75
Colorado State @ UTSA
Final · Sat, Sep 2645-59104 total points
COLORADO STATE +14.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total58.04
Close56.5
Illinois @ Ohio State
Final · Sat, Sep 2619-4261 total points
UNDER 54.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total48.81
Close53.5
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State
Final · Sat, Sep 2614-3549 total points
GEORGIA STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total56.02
Close56.5
Oklahoma @ Georgia
Final · Sat, Sep 2613-4154 total points
OVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total49.48
Close43.75
Ole Miss @ Florida
Final · Sat, Sep 2628-5280 total points
OLE MISS +3.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total58.45
Close58.5
Houston @ Georgia Southern
Final · Sat, Sep 2642-2870 total points
GEORGIA SOUTHERN +18.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total55.43
Close56.5
Wisconsin @ Penn State
Final · Sat, Sep 2624-2044 total points
PENN STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE MISS
OVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total47.64
Close43.75
Nebraska @ Michigan State
Final · Sat, Sep 2631-1344 total points
NEBRASKA -5.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total50.6
Close48.5
South Florida @ Bowling Green
Final · Sat, Sep 2614-620 total points
OVER 48.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total52.02
Close48.75
James Madison @ Old Dominion
Final · Sat, Sep 2646-2066 total points
JAMES MADISON -6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
OVER 44.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total48.48
Close44.25
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Final · Sat, Sep 2641-2465 total points
UNDER 61.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total54.79
Close60.5
South Carolina @ Alabama
Final · Sat, Sep 2618-4967 total points
SOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
OVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total51.98
Close53.5
Texas A&M @ LSU
Final · Sat, Sep 266-3541 total points
TEXAS A&M +8 · EDGEEDGE MISS
UNDER 56.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total51.27
Close52.25
Troy @ Utah State
Final · Sat, Sep 2610-2131 total points
OVER 47.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total51.04
Close47.5
Oregon @ USC
Final · Sat, Sep 2641-2768 total points
OREGON +2.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
UNDER 62.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total55.92
Close60.5
App State @ NC State
Final · Sat, Sep 2631-4172 total points
NC STATE -14 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total55.41
Close56.5
Missouri @ Mississippi State
Final · Sat, Sep 2624-3155 total points
MISSOURI +5.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total56.03
Close58.5
Tulsa @ Arkansas
Final · Sat, Sep 266-3440 total points
OVER 50.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total54.65
Close51.5
Oregon State @ UTEP
Final · Sat, Sep 2633-740 total points
UTEP +10.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total54.95
Close56.5
Rice @ Fresno State
Final · Sat, Sep 2624-3862 total points
OVER 43.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total45.38
Close43.5
Air Force @ Nevada
Final · Sat, Sep 2636-3369 total points
NEVADA +5.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Model total51.06
Close50.5
Minnesota @ Washington
Final · Sat, Sep 2627-2451 total points
WASHINGTON -10.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Model total46.65
Close44.75
The full slate, graded
scored Fri, Oct 23| Game | Final | Win pick | ATS signal | Total signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty @ Coastal CarolinaThu, Sep 24 | 34-17 | HIT | ||
| Army @ TempleFri, Sep 25 | 21-17 | HIT | ||
| Navy @ UABFri, Sep 25 | 20-24 | MISS | ||
| Northwestern @ IndianaFri, Sep 25 | 23-29 | HIT | OVER 49.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Clemson @ CaliforniaFri, Sep 25 | 24-10 | HIT | CLEMSON +1.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Virginia Tech @ Boston CollegeSat, Sep 26 | 21-14 | HIT | OVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Texas @ TennesseeSat, Sep 26 | 20-17 | HIT | TEXAS -5.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | OVER 54.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS |
| Ball State @ Kent StateSat, Sep 26 | 13-26 | HIT | ||
| Wake Forest @ LouisvilleSat, Sep 26 | 30-27 | MISS | ||
| Colorado @ BaylorSat, Sep 26 | 13-23 | HIT | UNDER 55.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Sam Houston @ Texas TechSat, Sep 26 | 14-49 | HIT | ||
| San Diego State @ ToledoSat, Sep 26 | 16-41 | HIT | ||
| UNLV @ AkronSat, Sep 26 | 38-10 | HIT | UNDER 53.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Colorado State @ UTSASat, Sep 26 | 45-59 | HIT | COLORADO STATE +14.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Illinois @ Ohio StateSat, Sep 26 | 19-42 | HIT | UNDER 54.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| South Alabama @ KentuckySat, Sep 26 | 21-45 | HIT | ||
| UCLA @ MarylandSat, Sep 26 | 54-3 | MISS | ||
| Notre Dame @ PurdueSat, Sep 26 | 49-10 | HIT | ||
| Northern Illinois @ Georgia StateSat, Sep 26 | 14-35 | HIT | GEORGIA STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Hawai'i @ WyomingSat, Sep 26 | 10-27 | MISS | ||
| Utah @ Iowa StateSat, Sep 26 | 31-17 | HIT | ||
| New Mexico @ New Mexico StateSat, Sep 26 | 42-18 | HIT | ||
| Oklahoma @ GeorgiaSat, Sep 26 | 13-41 | HIT | OVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Ole Miss @ FloridaSat, Sep 26 | 28-52 | MISS | OLE MISS +3.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Boise State @ Western MichiganSat, Sep 26 | 32-7 | HIT | ||
| UConn @ Miami (OH)Sat, Sep 26 | 21-24 | HIT | ||
| Iowa @ MichiganSat, Sep 26 | 20-19 | HIT | IOWA +4.5 · LEANLEAN HIT | OVER 38.5 · LEANLEAN HIT |
| TCU @ UCFSat, Sep 26 | 13-21 | MISS | ||
| Houston @ Georgia SouthernSat, Sep 26 | 42-28 | HIT | GEORGIA SOUTHERN +18.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Vanderbilt @ AuburnSat, Sep 26 | 15-21 | MISS | ||
| Wisconsin @ Penn StateSat, Sep 26 | 24-20 | MISS | PENN STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE MISS | OVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS |
| Nebraska @ Michigan StateSat, Sep 26 | 31-13 | HIT | NEBRASKA -5.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| South Florida @ Bowling GreenSat, Sep 26 | 14-6 | HIT | OVER 48.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| James Madison @ Old DominionSat, Sep 26 | 46-20 | HIT | JAMES MADISON -6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | OVER 44.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT |
| Central Michigan @ MiamiSat, Sep 26 | 3-52 | HIT | ||
| Louisiana @ CharlotteSat, Sep 26 | 34-7 | HIT | ||
| Oklahoma State @ West VirginiaSat, Sep 26 | 41-24 | MISS | UNDER 61.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| South Carolina @ AlabamaSat, Sep 26 | 18-49 | HIT | SOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | OVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT |
| Southern Miss @ TulaneSat, Sep 26 | 21-24 | HIT | ||
| Kansas State @ CincinnatiSat, Sep 26 | 26-31 | MISS | ||
| Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville StateSat, Sep 26 | 13-23 | HIT | ||
| Kennesaw State @ Arkansas StateSat, Sep 26 | 14-17 | HIT | ||
| Texas A&M @ LSUSat, Sep 26 | 6-35 | HIT | TEXAS A&M +8 · EDGEEDGE MISS | UNDER 56.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT |
| Arizona @ Washington StateSat, Sep 26 | 34-24 | HIT | ||
| Troy @ Utah StateSat, Sep 26 | 10-21 | MISS | OVER 47.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Oregon @ USCSat, Sep 26 | 41-27 | HIT | OREGON +2.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | UNDER 62.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS |
| App State @ NC StateSat, Sep 26 | 31-41 | HIT | NC STATE -14 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Missouri @ Mississippi StateSat, Sep 26 | 24-31 | MISS | MISSOURI +5.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Tulsa @ ArkansasSat, Sep 26 | 6-34 | HIT | OVER 50.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Florida Atlantic @ UL MonroeSat, Sep 26 | 45-17 | HIT | ||
| Oregon State @ UTEPSat, Sep 26 | 33-7 | HIT | UTEP +10.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS | |
| Rice @ Fresno StateSat, Sep 26 | 24-38 | HIT | OVER 43.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Georgia Tech @ StanfordSat, Sep 26 | 27-34 | MISS | ||
| Air Force @ NevadaSat, Sep 26 | 36-33 | HIT | NEVADA +5.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT | |
| Minnesota @ WashingtonSat, Sep 26 | 27-24 | MISS | WASHINGTON -10.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS |
Cyan rows contain at least one Edge. Lean and Edge results are independent tiers.