SOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 · EDGE loss; OVER 46.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · BRYANT-DENNY STADIUM
South Carolina2-124%
Alabama3-076%
SCNATL RANKALA
28th
Model Overall
21st
65th
Model Offense
44th
17th
Model Defense
15th
-3.7
Pace
-3.7
69%
Returning PPA
26%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total46.5
Model total52.0
SOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 · EDGE LOSSOVER 46.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: South Carolina +12.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
South Carolina line
+12.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; South Carolina line +11.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; South Carolina line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; South Carolina line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; South Carolina line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; South Carolina line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; South Carolina line +12.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: SC wk 4 · ALA wk 4
Model margin
Alabama by 8.26
Opening line
South Carolina +11.5
Latest line
South Carolina +12.5
Close total
53.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
SC18
FINALBryant-Denny Stadium
ALA49
WinAlabamaWIN HIT
ATSSOUTH CAROLINA +12.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
