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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

South Alabama @ Kentucky

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · KROGER FIELD
South Alabama2-122%
Kentucky2-178%
USANATL RANKUK
120th
Model Overall
84th
108th
Model Offense
91st
127th
Model Defense
59th
0.2
Pace
-3.5
79%
Returning PPA
19%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total55.3
Model total56.3

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: South Alabama +20.5 · No signal

+19+20+21Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

South Alabama line
+20.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; South Alabama line +20.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: USA wk 4 · UK wk 4

Model margin
Kentucky by 16.73
Opening line
South Alabama +20.25
Latest line
South Alabama +20.5
Close total
54.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USA21
FINALKroger Field
UK45
  • WinKentuckyWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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