OVER 50.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · RAZORBACK STADIUM
Tulsa3-036%
Arkansas1-264%
TLSANATL RANKARK
100th
Model Overall
39th
102nd
Model Offense
10th
103rd
Model Defense
81st
3.6
Pace
-2.5
41%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.8
Model total54.6
OVER 50.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Tulsa +7.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Tulsa line
+7.0
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Tulsa line +7.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: TLSA wk 4 · ARK wk 4
Model margin
Arkansas by 11.37
Opening line
Tulsa +7.75
Latest line
Tulsa +7
Close total
51.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
TLSA6
FINALRazorback Stadium
ARK34
WinArkansasWIN HIT
TotalOVER 50.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
