Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Ball State line +3.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Ball State line +3.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ball State line +3.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ball State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Ball State line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Ball State line +2.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 4 · KENT wk 4
Model margin
Kent State by 4.37
Opening line
Ball State +3.75
Latest line
Ball State +2.5
Close total
51.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BALL13
FINALDix Stadium
KENT26
WinKent StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.