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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Ball State @ Kent State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · DIX STADIUM
Ball State1-240%
Kent State1-260%
BALLNATL RANKKENT
131st
Model Overall
102nd
134th
Model Offense
99th
99th
Model Defense
107th
-4.7
Pace
-9.3
6%
Returning PPA
64%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.5
Model total51.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ball State +2.75 · No signal

+2+3+4+5Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Ball State line
+2.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Ball State line +3.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Ball State line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ball State line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ball State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Ball State line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Ball State line +2.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 4 · KENT wk 4

Model margin
Kent State by 4.37
Opening line
Ball State +3.75
Latest line
Ball State +2.5
Close total
51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BALL13
FINALDix Stadium
KENT26
  • WinKent StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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