PENN STATE -10 · EDGE loss; OVER 44.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · BEAVER STADIUM
Wisconsin2-121%
Penn State3-079%
WISNATL RANKPSU
68th
Model Overall
13th
110th
Model Offense
14th
34th
Model Defense
28th
-8.7
Pace
-4.6
31%
Returning PPA
8%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total42.5
Model total47.6
PENN STATE -10 · EDGE LOSSOVER 44.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Wisconsin +10.0 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Wisconsin line
+10.0
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Wisconsin line +11.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Wisconsin line +9.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Wisconsin line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Wisconsin line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Wisconsin line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Wisconsin line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: WIS wk 4 · PSU wk 4
Model margin
Penn State by 13.04
Opening line
Wisconsin +11.5
Latest line
Wisconsin +9.75
Close total
43.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
WIS24
FINALBeaver Stadium
PSU20
WinPenn StateWIN MISS
ATSPENN STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 44.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
