COLORADO STATE +14.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · ALAMODOME
Colorado State2-123%
UTSA2-177%
CSUNATL RANKUTSA
124th
Model Overall
50th
105th
Model Offense
58th
131st
Model Defense
47th
-5.0
Pace
0.6
40%
Returning PPA
67%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total58.0
COLORADO STATE +14.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Colorado State +14.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Colorado State line
+14.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Colorado State line +12.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Colorado State line +13.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Colorado State line +13.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Colorado State line +13.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Colorado State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Colorado State line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: CSU wk 4 · UTSA wk 4
Model margin
UTSA by 11.97
Opening line
Colorado State +12
Latest line
Colorado State +14.25
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
CSU45
FINALAlamodome
UTSA59
WinUTSAWIN HIT
ATSCOLORADO STATE +14.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
