NEBRASKA -5.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · SPARTAN STADIUM
Nebraska3-076%
Michigan State2-124%
NEBNATL RANKMSU
82nd
Model Overall
58th
41st
Model Offense
45th
117th
Model Defense
62nd
-4.4
Pace
-4.2
46%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.5
Model total50.6
NEBRASKA -5.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Nebraska -5.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Nebraska line
-5.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.75; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: NEB wk 4 · MSU wk 4
Model margin
Nebraska by 8.38
Opening line
Nebraska -5.5
Latest line
Nebraska -6
Close total
48.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NEB31
FINALSpartan Stadium
MSU13
WinNebraskaWIN HIT
ATSNEBRASKA -5.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
