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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Colorado @ Baylor

UNDER 55.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · MCLANE STADIUM
Colorado2-121%
Baylor2-179%
COLONATL RANKBAY
93rd
Model Overall
65th
114th
Model Offense
50th
67th
Model Defense
66th
-2.7
Pace
4.5
14%
Returning PPA
60%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.3
Model total52.1
UNDER 55.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Colorado +9.0 · No signal

+8+9+10+11Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Colorado line
+9.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Colorado line +9.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Colorado line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Colorado line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Colorado line +10.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Colorado line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Colorado line +9.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: COLO wk 4 · BAY wk 4

Model margin
Baylor by 13.66
Opening line
Colorado +9.25
Latest line
Colorado +8.5
Close total
54.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

COLO13
FINALMcLane Stadium
BAY23
  • WinBaylorWIN HIT
  • TotalUNDER 55.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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