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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 1:15 PM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

AP rank 23Texas A&M @ AP rank 10LSU

TEXAS A&M +8 · EDGE loss; UNDER 56.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · TIGER STADIUM (LA)
Texas A&M2-149%
LSU2-151%
TA&MNATL RANKLSU
20th
Model Overall
52nd
34th
Model Offense
89th
20th
Model Defense
30th
0.6
Pace
-3.6
73%
Returning PPA
21%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total51.3
TEXAS A&M +8 · EDGE LOSSUNDER 56.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Texas A&M +8.0 · EDGE

+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10Open5:03 PMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Texas A&M line
+8.0
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Texas A&M line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Texas A&M line +8.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Texas A&M line +8.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Texas A&M line +8.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Texas A&M line +8.75; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Texas A&M line +8.0; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: TA&M wk 4 · LSU wk 4

Model margin
Texas A&M by 0.09
Opening line
Texas A&M +3
Latest line
Texas A&M +8.5
Close total
52.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TA&M6
FINALTiger Stadium (LA)
LSU35
  • WinLSUWIN HIT
  • ATSTEXAS A&M +8 · EDGEEDGE MISS
  • TotalUNDER 56.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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