NC STATE -14 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM
App State3-017%
NC State1-283%
APPNATL RANKNCSU
123rd
Model Overall
43rd
120th
Model Offense
35th
116th
Model Defense
49th
0.8
Pace
-4.5
38%
Returning PPA
60%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total55.3
Model total55.4
NC STATE -14 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: App State +13.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
App State line
+13.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; App State line +13.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; App State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; App State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; App State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; App State line +14.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; App State line +13.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: APP wk 4 · NCSU wk 4
Model margin
NC State by 16.73
Opening line
App State +13.75
Latest line
App State +12.75
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
APP31
FINALCarter-Finley Stadium
NCSU41
WinNC StateWIN HIT
ATSNC STATE -14 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
