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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

New Mexico @ New Mexico State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · AGGIE MEMORIAL STADIUM
New Mexico2-180%
New Mexico State1-220%
UNMNATL RANKNMSU
69th
Model Overall
127th
95th
Model Offense
132nd
48th
Model Defense
88th
-5.4
Pace
1.2
58%
Returning PPA
24%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.0
Model total50.0

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: New Mexico -11.25 · No signal

-13-12-11-10Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

New Mexico line
-11.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; New Mexico line -12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UNM wk 4 · NMSU wk 4

Model margin
New Mexico by 8.01
Opening line
New Mexico -12.25
Latest line
New Mexico -11.5
Close total
47.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UNM42
FINALAggie Memorial Stadium
NMSU18
  • WinNew MexicoWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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