Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; New Mexico line -12.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: UNM wk 4 · NMSU wk 4
Model margin
New Mexico by 8.01
Opening line
New Mexico -12.25
Latest line
New Mexico -11.5
Close total
47.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UNM42
FINALAggie Memorial Stadium
NMSU18
WinNew MexicoWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.