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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Minnesota @ Washington

WASHINGTON -10.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · HUSKY STADIUM
Minnesota2-110%
Washington3-090%
MINNNATL RANKWASH
81st
Model Overall
6th
73rd
Model Offense
20th
82nd
Model Defense
6th
-7.2
Pace
-4.9
65%
Returning PPA
54%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total44.8
Model total46.6
WASHINGTON -10.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Minnesota +10.5 · EDGE

+8+9+10+11Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Minnesota line
+10.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Minnesota line +9.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Minnesota line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Minnesota line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Minnesota line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Minnesota line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Minnesota line +10.5; producer tier EDGE

RATINGS AS OF: MINN wk 4 · WASH wk 4

Model margin
Washington by 15.81
Opening line
Minnesota +9.25
Latest line
Minnesota +12.25
Close total
44.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MINN27
FINALHusky Stadium
WASH24
  • WinWashingtonWIN MISS
  • ATSWASHINGTON -10.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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