GEORGIA STATE -10 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · CENTER PARC STADIUM
Northern Illinois0-319%
Georgia State2-181%
NIUNATL RANKGAST
134th
Model Overall
116th
117th
Model Offense
84th
135th
Model Defense
130th
-4.1
Pace
0.7
44%
Returning PPA
47%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total54.8
Model total56.0
GEORGIA STATE -10 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Northern Illinois +10.25 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Northern Illinois line
+10.25
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +9.25; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Northern Illinois line +10.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: NIU wk 4 · GAST wk 4
Model margin
Georgia State by 12.01
Opening line
Northern Illinois +9.25
Latest line
Northern Illinois +8.75
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NIU14
FINALCenter Parc Stadium
GAST35
WinGeorgia StateWIN HIT
ATSGEORGIA STATE -10 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
