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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

AP rank 4Ole Miss @ AP rank 21Florida

OLE MISS +3.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · BEN HILL GRIFFIN STADIUM
Ole Miss3-057%
Florida3-043%
MISSNATL RANKFLA
8th
Model Overall
36th
4th
Model Offense
23rd
35th
Model Defense
54th
3.2
Pace
-5.5
50%
Returning PPA
69%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total58.5
OLE MISS +3.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ole Miss +3.75 · No signal

+1+2+3+4+5Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Ole Miss line
+3.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Ole Miss line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Ole Miss line +3.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ole Miss line +3.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Ole Miss line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Ole Miss line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Ole Miss line +3.75; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: MISS wk 4 · FLA wk 4

Model margin
Ole Miss by 1.25
Opening line
Ole Miss +1.5
Latest line
Ole Miss +4
Close total
58.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MISS28
FINALBen Hill Griffin Stadium
FLA52
  • WinOle MissWIN MISS
  • ATSOLE MISS +3.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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